Friday, October 24, 2008

The Lock - Week 8

It was another profitable week here at Sportsomniac. While my 401k may be dissolving, my betting book is getting fat after a 4-1 week and a 20-12 overall record against the spread. There are few more things than getting a huge amount of points and watching your 'dog get the outright win. Look below for even more picks sure to cash in as Vegas is giving the favorites a lot of points in week 8.

The Lock:
Houston -9.5 vs Cincinnati
The Marvin Lewis era needs to end and a blow out loss to Houston will help to further convince Bengals' fans of that fact. While Houston is far from an elite team, even they have enough talent to dominate the hapless Bengals.

Cleveland +7 at Jacksonville
Anyone who knows me, knows I love the Jaguars' defense and focus on the run. That said, Cleveland's defense has been impressive the last two weeks holding the Giants and Redskins to 14 points each. Jacksonville should get the win, but it will be close and it will be late.

The Coinflip:
Buffalo -1.5 at Miami
In a classic trap game, Buffalo travels to Miami to take on the Dolphins. While this game features two teams on the opposite spectrum of the divisional standings, Buffalo isn't the clear favorite they probably should be. Expect the Bills to win going away to the tune of 29-17.

Take the Points:
Atlanta +9 at Philadelphia
As I said at the top, Vegas is giving a lot of favorites too many points, and this is just one more example. Atlanta recently showcased two impressive wins against Green Bay and Chicago and will be well rested coming off their bye as they travel to Philadelphia. While I like the Eagles who will view this as a must win game, they don't have enough to bury the Falcons like the line would have you believe. Expect a close game and consider the Falcons for the outright upset.

The Upset:
Indianapolis +4 at Tennessee
Despite the temptation to take the Rams looking to upset another top team in the Patriots, I have to go with Indianapolis here. While Tennessee enjoys the league's best record and the top spot on our recent Power Rankings, the Colts will show their experience here as they'll win on the road on Monday Night Football.

The Sportsomniac takes no responsibility for any money won or lost due to betting on these picks.

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